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The dilemma today for many considering loan modifications or even considering whether to move from the trial to the permanent phase of the process is whether it is worth it in the long run. Current programs lower interest rates and make the payback longer but do not address the loan’s principle.  With many homes worth less than the principle or “under water,” some owners feel negative about paying for a home that could not command the price they paid.

This is encouraging some homeowners to strategically default on their loan before they are even delinquent. Knowing that delinquency might affect their ability to apply for a new loan or even to get a decent rental, they are getting their next step in place before they make a move.  Even if they can pay the loan, the decision to strategically default may be based on the math of it all.  They determine that over the life of the loan, they will pay 10’s of thousands of dollars more for their property than it is worth.  They know their credit score will take a hit, but they anticipate that by the time their credit rebounds they will have saved a bundle.

This is a new variation on what some homeowners do out of frustration: walk away from a house they are delinquent on and mail the keys back to the bank.  Banks hate this “jingle mail.”  While it may seemingly solve a problem for someone already deep in debt, they may well receive a double whammy: they now have bad credit AND a bank may be coming after them.  The bank may come after the first group too, but the strategic defaulters are betting this won’t happen.

According to a new study by credit bureau Experian and Oliver Wyman Consulting, twice the number of people who did this in 2007 did so in 2008.  Based on their evaluation of 24 million credit files, strategic defaults are heavily concentrated in negative-equity markets where home values zoomed during the boom and nosedived since 2006.  The study found a 68% increase in strategic defaults in California, compared to a 9% increase elsewhere.

Not surprisingly, banks are less enthusiastic about strategic defaulters than regular walkways.  The major credit bureaus are developing tools to identify strategic defaulters and refuse loan modifications to this group, as they are likely to strategically default even after the modification.

All of this lends some background to what can be a more personal problem: the need to sell your house, fast. If that is the case, contact us at Express Homebuyers. We buy houses, no matter what the condition. We’ll give you a fair shake and you can sell your house for cash, fast. Check out our website for some useful secrets to selling your home fast, then give us a call at 1-877-804-5252.

The recession may be winding down in the minds of economists, but tell that to someone who is unemployed or in the throes of foreclosure.  Even tell that to someone scanning the news, and it’s a hard sell?  Why?  The foreclosures keep on coming.  At the end of the third quarter of 2009, one in three homes was in foreclosure or delinquent, often the first step to worse things to come.  Why does the mortgage crisis continue?

New groups of people are affected. The mortgage crisis started when sub-prime mortgages crashed, but now prime borrowers are increasing as unemployment spreads.  Currently, unemployment is at 10% nationwide.

There are regional differences. Nevada, Florida, Arizona, and California, where the real estate boom was the greatest, still have skyrocketing foreclosure rates, and represent 42% of all foreclosures.  Florida alone has a 25% rate.

There is a Shadow Inventory. Large stocks of foreclosed homes – up to six million of them -have yet to be put on the market by banks.  Considering that foreclosures are still adding to the numbers, it will be several years before housing inventories are stable.

Some rescue programs are mis-targeted. Nearly 700,000 borrowers are in trial loan modification programs as a result of the Making Home Affordable program, but many thousands who are unemployed or are in negative situations don’t qualify.  The programs require that you have enough income to pay a modified mortgage and apply only to people whose “under water status “ does not exceed 125% of the loan value.

Some programs fail (and may be doomed to). The rescue programs don’t go far enough.  The payments after modification are still too high for many people, so they default later rather than sooner.  Also, the modification programs often lower interest and lengthen the time but do not decrease the principle.  People are left with the sense they are paying longer for an overpriced house.

Some well-intentioned programs may elongate the problem. Current programs that keep homeowners in their homes as renters once they surrender their deeds may be creative and compassionate, but also may delay the inevitable: the home must be sold at a later date.

Express Homebuyers can buy your home for cash.  Check our list of frequently asked questions to see how this can help you, and then call 877-804-3252 to get started.

How are Federal Loan Modification efforts going so far?

• While 4 million people could be helped, only 825,000 have been accepted into the program so far.
• Only 66,000 (7%) homeowners in the program have moved into permanent loan modifications.
• On average, homeowners save about $500 per month when their payments are reduced to a maximum of 31% of their income.
• Of the homeowners aided by program to date, 52% needed assistance because they lost income; 11% claimed too much non-mortgage debt; and 6% were unemployed.
• About 50,000 (6%) have been dropped from the program because they did not qualify, provide required documentation, or make all of their payments.
• 25% of participating homeowners have failed to make all of their payments while some have made none at all.

The statistics provided are interesting food for thought. Why aren’t more people applying?  Why aren’t more accepted?  Why aren’t more moving to permanent status?  Why are so many defaulting?

There is plenty of fault to go around.

Banks don’t really want to modify loans; when they do, they seldom modify the principle.  The modifications are doomed to fail for many people, especially if they are underwater and people are still paying big notes on homes that have lost their value.

The fact that some people aren’t paying their loans indicates that the modification wasn’t enough for them, their finances got worse after the modification – i.e., they lost their job, or the home they tried to stay is was too expensive for them.  Perhaps the program guidelines need to be changed or counseling needs to weed out those likely to fail and help them find new housing.

 Express Homebuyers can buy your home for cash to prevent foreclosure.  Check our list of frequently asked questions to see how this can help you, and then call 877-804-3252 to get started.